Climate change and ocean acidification outweigh local stressors in Mediterranean mussels: A multi-method convergence analysis
Published in the prestigious journal Environmental Pollution and co-authored by ISPRA researchers, the study "Climate Change and Ocean Acidification Outweigh Local Stressors in Mediterranean Mussels: A Multi-Method Convergence Analysis" presents the results of a ten-year biomonitoring programme (2014–2023) carried out in the Ligurian Sea.
The research focused on the Mediterranean mussel (Mytilus galloprovincialis) at Gorgona Island (used as the reference site) and near an offshore regasification terminal. By integrating biomarker data, tissue metal concentrations, and high-resolution oceanographic variables, the study quantified the relative contribution of different environmental stressors affecting mussel health using five complementary statistical approaches.
The study's main finding is that climate change—particularly ocean acidification—emerged as the primary driver of biological stress, accounting for approximately 40% of the observed variance. This significantly exceeded the contribution of metal contamination (around 30%) and the local influence of the offshore regasification terminal (approximately 13%). Notably, about 64% of the climate-related impact was found to operate indirectly by enhancing the bioaccumulation of metals.